Sacramento State — 2026 schedule & results record 1-7 · model's picks 0-0 so far
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Line / ATS | Model | Win prob | Pick | My bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sat 08/29 | Eastern Michigan | away | L 17–28 | +9.25 ✗ | — | — | — | |
| 1 | Sat 09/05 | Mississippi Valley State | home | W 52–0 | -38.5 ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 2 | Sat 09/12 | Fresno State | away | L 3–49 | +18 ✗ | — | — | — | |
| 3 | Sat 09/19 | North Dakota State | home | L 10–31 | +25.5 ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 4 | Sat 09/26 | Massachusetts | home | L 6–35 | +6 ✗ | — | — | — | |
| 6 | Sat 10/10 | Bowling Green | away | L 10–38 | +9.5 ✗ | — | — | — | |
| 7 | Sat 10/17 | Ohio | home | L 7–48 | +16.5 ✗ | — | — | — | |
| 8 | Sat 10/24 | Ball State | away | L 17–34 | +14.5 ✗ | — | — | — | |
| 9 | Fri 10/30 | Kent State | home | — | +10 | — | — | — | |
| 10 | Wed 11/04 | Toledo | home | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 11 | Wed 11/11 | Central Michigan | away | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 13 | Sat 11/28 | Hawai'i | away | — | — | — | — | — |
Picked counts every game the model favors as a win. Mean wins is the average over 10,000 simulated seasons — a team favored 60/40 in five games wins about three of them, not five, which is why Picked runs higher than Mean wins for good teams (and lower for bad ones). Compare Mean wins to Vegas; use this page to see where the wins come from.